October 22, 2026
Eric Hartline/IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Dak Prescott and the Cowboys are 4-point road favorites over the Eagles.
For the gambling degenerates, here are my Week 7 NFL picks. The team logos indicate who I think will win the game, not cover the spread. At the end of the picks, I'll note a few teams that I like based on the spread.
Patriots at Bears (-3): You don't know what you're going to get from the Bears one week to the next, but when they're on they have the firepower to blow teams out.
Side note: Howie Roseman had a bad offseason, but the one great thing he did was get a first-round pick for a declining A.J. Brown:
#Patriots WR A.J. Brown:
— Henry McKenna (@henrycmckenna) October 18, 2026
22 routes
10 targets
3 catches
27 yards
Not great!!! pic.twitter.com/8jzLnlZh5S
Steelers (-3) vs. Saints (in Paris): I don't really like either of these teams, but if there's one thing I suppose I trust it's the Steelers' defense, more specifically their pass rush.
Buccaneers at Panthers (-3): The Buccaneers plan on announcing whether Baker Mayfield will return as the starter on Friday. He was a full participant in practice on Wednesday, and he is ultra competitive, so, spoiler... he's going to start. Meh. I like the Panthers anyway.
Dolphins at Jets (-4.5): The Dolphins and Chargers are the NFL's only winless teams. The Chargers are eventually going to win some games. The Dolphins? Ehhhh... maybe. This game represents a chance to get in the win column, but the Jets have at least looked functional this season.
Browns (-1.5) at Titans: The Titans are awful, but at least they're healthy, while the Browns have a long list of banged-up players. Still, I can't get myself to pick this Titans team.
Giants at Texans (-10.5): How bad is the NFC East? Well, the team that leads the division by 1.5 games is a double-digit underdog to a 2-4 team.
I hate myself for putting any trust at all in J.J. McCarthy, but I'll take the 10.5 points.
49ers (-2.5) at Falcons: The Niners are banged-up, as always, but they always seem to work their way through it. Laying 2.5 points against this erratic Falcons teams feels like a bargain.
Colts at Vikings (-6.5): Nobody is going to want to touch the Colts after losing to the woeful Titans last week. But I kind of like them here, (a) because they fired their GM, which maybe makes everyone organization-wide begin to worry about accountability ("new HC bump," but with a GM instead); and (b) the Vikings are nowhere near as good as their 5-0 record would indicate.
Bengals (-1) at Ravens: The Bengals somehow only listed one guy on their injury report. That aside, I just have not been impressed anytime I've seen the Ravens play this season. Aside from being healthier, the Bengals are also just better.
Broncos (-4) at Cardinals: The Broncos are 4-2 despite looking like garbage on offense. I'd love to pick against them, but can't pull the trigger against the Cardinals, who in fairness have been frisky at times against good teams.
Packers at Lions (-3): The Lions are coming off their bye and are getting healthier, with Brian Branch coming back from injury. They are one of the more underrated teams in the league. Nobody has stopped their offense yet this season.
Rams (-3.5) at Raiders: This Rams team is just killing people who make picks every week.
Chiefs at Seahawks (-3): The Chiefs look like their old Super Bowl-contending selves so far this season, while the Seahawks are feeling the after-effect of losing key players after winning a Super Bowl. I like the Chiefs' chances of going into Seattle and reminding people that they still think they're the NFL's alpha team.
Cowboys (-4) at Eagles: Normally for any Eagles game — but especially an Eagles-Cowboys game — I'd write up a long thing here looking at the matchups that I think favor the Eagles or their opponents, and/or take dive deeps into key injuries that leave either team thin in critical areas. But really, what's the point? This Eagles' offense is nonfunctional. They can't run it. They can't protect the quarterback. The scheme sucks. There are injuries everywhere. It's just a total mess.
Yes, the Cowboys' defense sucks as well, and the Eagles could be getting Saquon Barkley back this week, but does that even matter much? There aren't even hints that this Eagles offense can be competent, much less functional. Spoiler: I won't be picking the Eagles to win many games the rest of this season, and I think there's a chance they get blown out at home in front of a national audience on a night that owner Jeffrey Lurie is honored at halftime.
BYE: Commanders, Bills, Jaguars, Chargers.
• Last 11 seasons, ATS: 462-392-22 (0.540)
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